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1993-08-27
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141 lines
Center for Public Service, University of Virginia
Electronic Bulletin Board Report No. 91-2
BEA Projections of Population, Income, and Employment to 2040
Average Growth Rates for Nearby Metropolitan Statistical Areas
File Name: MSAGR
Actual Average (Compound) Growth Rates
1988 '88-'95'95-'00'00-'05'05-'10'10-'20'20-'40
FIPS (000s)
CODE Population
480 Asheville, NC 173 0.73% 0.54% 0.42% 0.42% 0.35% 0.10%
720 Baltimore, MD 2342 0.90% 0.66% 0.58% 0.49% 0.34% 0.09%
1300 Burlington, NC 106 0.40% 0.36% 0.53% 0.35% 0.34% 0.08%
1480 Charleston, WV 261 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.30% 0.33% 0.09%
1520 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 1112 0.88% 0.65% 0.57% 0.52% 0.40% 0.12%
1540 Charlottesville, Va 124 1.01% 0.89% 0.71% 0.68% 0.40% 0.13%
1900 Cumberland, MD-WV 102 0.28% 0.19% 0.19% 0.19% 0.19% 0.05%
1950 Danville, VA 108 0.39% 0.36% 0.18% 0.35% 0.09% 0.00%
3120 Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, 925 0.68% 0.55% 0.50% 0.50% 0.38% 0.11%
3180 Hagerstown, MD 118 0.83% 0.63% 0.61% 0.45% 0.36% 0.11%
3290 Hickory, NC 222 0.82% 0.67% 0.57% 0.48% 0.38% 0.09%
3400 Hunington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH 322 0.04% 0.00% 0.12% 0.24% 0.27% 0.07%
3605 Jacksonville, NC 126 0.67% 0.45% 0.59% 0.57% 0.55% 0.26%
3660 Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-V 442 0.63% 0.51% 0.42% 0.41% 0.34% 0.10%
3840 Knoxville, TN 600 0.93% 0.74% 0.62% 0.58% 0.44% 0.15%
4280 Lexington-Fayette, KY 348 0.80% 0.64% 0.62% 0.56% 0.51% 0.15%
4640 Lynchburg, VA 145 0.77% 0.52% 0.38% 0.37% 0.24% 0.06%
5720 Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, 1380 1.12% 0.87% 0.77% 0.69% 0.49% 0.18%
6640 Raleigh-Durham, NC 683 1.07% 0.83% 0.69% 0.62% 0.45% 0.15%
6760 Richmond-Petersburg, VA 844 1.22% 0.92% 0.80% 0.69% 0.44% 0.15%
6800 Roanoke, VA 222 0.69% 0.51% 0.50% 0.40% 0.24% 0.10%
8840 Washington, DC-MD-VA 3734 1.30% 1.05% 0.93% 0.78% 0.53% 0.18%
9200 Wilmington, NC 117 0.95% 0.79% 0.61% 0.44% 0.43% 0.14%
Unweighted average 0.74% 0.58% 0.52% 0.48% 0.37% 0.12%
Per Capita Personal Income (1982 Dollars)
480 Asheville, NC $11,550 1.46% 1.29% 0.98% 0.80% 0.61% 0.77%
720 Baltimore, MD 15269 0.95% 1.00% 0.78% 0.66% 0.56% 0.74%
1300 Burlington, NC 12564 1.31% 1.17% 0.89% 0.73% 0.58% 0.77%
1480 Charleston, WV 11278 1.26% 1.13% 0.90% 0.81% 0.73% 0.86%
1520 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 13131 1.41% 1.27% 0.98% 0.81% 0.62% 0.77%
1540 Charlottesville, Va 13784 1.30% 1.21% 0.94% 0.79% 0.65% 0.79%
1900 Cumberland, MD-WV 10065 1.15% 1.12% 0.88% 0.75% 0.64% 0.78%
1950 Danville, VA 10958 1.28% 1.18% 0.90% 0.76% 0.63% 0.78%
3120 Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, 13345 1.50% 1.32% 1.00% 0.82% 0.62% 0.77%
3180 Hagerstown, MD 11802 1.04% 1.05% 0.80% 0.66% 0.57% 0.74%
3290 Hickory, NC 11402 1.12% 1.04% 0.80% 0.66% 0.53% 0.74%
3400 Hunington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH 9608 1.38% 1.25% 0.99% 0.87% 0.70% 0.83%
3605 Jacksonville, NC 9046 1.04% 1.01% 0.79% 0.67% 0.54% 0.74%
3660 Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-V 9984 1.35% 1.19% 0.92% 0.77% 0.61% 0.77%
3840 Knoxville, TN 11420 1.42% 1.22% 0.94% 0.79% 0.62% 0.78%
4280 Lexington-Fayette, KY 12631 1.37% 1.27% 0.99% 0.83% 0.63% 0.79%
4640 Lynchburg, VA 11016 1.16% 1.07% 0.83% 0.70% 0.59% 0.76%
5720 Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, 12089 1.09% 1.02% 0.79% 0.68% 0.58% 0.75%
6640 Raleigh-Durham, NC 14194 1.56% 1.39% 1.08% 0.89% 0.66% 0.79%
6760 Richmond-Petersburg, VA 14953 1.11% 1.06% 0.81% 0.69% 0.59% 0.76%
6800 Roanoke, VA 13387 1.21% 1.12% 0.87% 0.74% 0.61% 0.77%
8840 Washington, DC-MD-VA 18614 1.05% 1.01% 0.78% 0.66% 0.57% 0.76%
9200 Wilmington, NC 11683 1.51% 1.36% 1.05% 0.87% 0.65% 0.78%
Unweighted average 1.26% 1.16% 0.90% 0.76% 0.61% 0.77%
Total Personal Income (Millions of 1982 dollars)
480 Asheville, NC $1,999 2.17% 1.82% 1.44% 1.24% 0.95% 0.88%
720 Baltimore, MD 35768 1.85% 1.67% 1.37% 1.15% 0.91% 0.83%
1300 Burlington, NC 1330 1.76% 1.59% 1.28% 1.14% 0.89% 0.85%
1480 Charleston, WV 2941 1.25% 1.14% 1.03% 1.08% 1.08% 0.95%
1520 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 14602 2.30% 1.93% 1.54% 1.35% 1.01% 0.90%
1540 Charlottesville, Va 1707 2.39% 2.06% 1.67% 1.41% 1.04% 0.92%
1900 Cumberland, MD-WV 1031 1.41% 1.27% 1.05% 0.93% 0.83% 0.81%
1950 Danville, VA 1184 1.73% 1.48% 1.14% 0.97% 0.76% 0.79%
3120 Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, 12340 2.19% 1.89% 1.51% 1.32% 1.00% 0.89%
3180 Hagerstown, MD 1390 1.90% 1.70% 1.39% 1.17% 0.92% 0.83%
3290 Hickory, NC 2533 1.96% 1.68% 1.35% 1.20% 0.92% 0.84%
3400 Hunington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH 3097 1.40% 1.28% 1.10% 1.08% 1.00% 0.90%
3605 Jacksonville, NC 1144 1.65% 1.48% 1.32% 1.25% 1.14% 0.98%
3660 Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-V 4416 1.97% 1.71% 1.36% 1.19% 0.95% 0.87%
3840 Knoxville, TN 6848 2.37% 1.97% 1.58% 1.36% 1.07% 0.93%
4280 Lexington-Fayette, KY 4395 2.20% 1.92% 1.58% 1.41% 1.14% 0.94%
4640 Lynchburg, VA 1603 1.86% 1.57% 1.25% 1.07% 0.83% 0.83%
5720 Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, 16686 2.21% 1.90% 1.58% 1.38% 1.07% 0.94%
6640 Raleigh-Durham, NC 9701 2.65% 2.22% 1.77% 1.52% 1.12% 0.94%
6760 Richmond-Petersburg, VA 12625 2.34% 2.00% 1.62% 1.38% 1.02% 0.91%
6800 Roanoke, VA 2966 1.93% 1.66% 1.34% 1.14% 0.88% 0.87%
8840 Washington, DC-MD-VA 69509 2.37% 2.08% 1.71% 1.44% 1.10% 0.94%
9200 Wilmington, NC 1371 2.46% 2.08% 1.65% 1.42% 1.06% 0.91%
Unweighted average 2.01% 1.74% 1.42% 1.24% 0.99% 0.89%
Total Employment (000s)
480 Asheville, NC 99.8 0.80% 0.71% 0.36% 0.13% -0.28% -0.21%
720 Baltimore, MD 1368.6 1.09% 0.90% 0.53% 0.22% -0.23% -0.18%
1300 Burlington, NC 66.4 0.84% 0.76% 0.43% 0.19% -0.25% -0.22%
1480 Charleston, WV 126.8 0.42% 0.41% 0.21% 0.04% -0.35% -0.28%
1520 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 719.8 1.24% 1.02% 0.60% 0.33% -0.17% -0.17%
1540 Charlottesville, Va 82.8 1.34% 1.10% 0.70% 0.36% -0.14% -0.13%
1900 Cumberland, MD-WV 43.8 0.73% 0.60% 0.29% 0.04% -0.34% -0.25%
1950 Danville, VA 53.7 0.68% 0.53% 0.21% -0.03% -0.40% -0.25%
3120 Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, 593.1 1.05% 0.91% 0.52% 0.28% -0.20% -0.18%
3180 Hagerstown, MD 62.9 1.23% 1.06% 0.66% 0.35% -0.16% -0.16%
3290 Hickory, NC 148.7 0.93% 0.79% 0.42% 0.19% -0.27% -0.23%
3400 Hunington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH 129.6 0.55% 0.53% 0.26% 0.07% -0.34% -0.26%
3605 Jacksonville, NC 75.9 0.65% 0.57% 0.34% 0.22% -0.08% -0.09%
3660 Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-V 213.0 1.03% 0.86% 0.47% 0.20% -0.25% -0.20%
3840 Knoxville, TN 329.0 1.44% 1.14% 0.69% 0.38% -0.14% -0.15%
4280 Lexington-Fayette, KY 224.3 1.23% 1.03% 0.64% 0.35% -0.17% -0.18%
4640 Lynchburg, VA 86.2 0.79% 0.63% 0.30% 0.02% -0.34% -0.21%
5720 Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, 807.1 1.21% 1.00% 0.64% 0.36% -0.09% -0.10%
6640 Raleigh-Durham, NC 475.2 1.56% 1.28% 0.82% 0.51% -0.07% -0.13%
6760 Richmond-Petersburg, VA 554.6 1.31% 1.06% 0.66% 0.35% -0.15% -0.13%
6800 Roanoke, VA 147.2 1.05% 0.86% 0.49% 0.20% -0.24% -0.15%
8840 Washington, DC-MD-VA 2668.3 1.62% 1.35% 0.91% 0.54% -0.03% -0.10%
9200 Wilmington, NC 71.1 1.33% 1.10% 0.67% 0.35% -0.14% -0.16%
Unweighted average 1.05% 0.88% 0.51% 0.25% -0.21% -0.18%
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic In